Declining volume and resistance at $19,500 are pinning Bitcoin price into a tightening range.
As mentioned by Cointelegraph contributor Rakesh Upadhyay, Bitcoin price spent the weekend consolidating within a bull pennant and the breakout to $19,418 was quickly stamped out by overhead resistance.
After retouching the pennant trendline, the price gave way, falling below the 20-MA on the 4-hour time frame and briefly losing the $19,000 mark.
Generally, most traders seem to agree that after a raging 93% rally from $10,300 to $19,888, a period of consolidation is necessary. Cointelegraph analyst Micheal van de Poppe said:
“On the higher timeframe, Bitcoin is still acting as it was last week. We are still acting in the all-time high resistance zone. I still have my eyes on $16K, which we bounced from, and $14K as these areas still could be retested as support. Holding $19K is important and if we have a daily close below $18.9K I think we’ll fall through.”
On the daily and 4-hour timeframe traders will note that the price is still notching lower highs and higher lows, a sign that the price range is beginning to narrow.
Currently the price is still holding within the pennant trendline as support but a breakthrough the structure will require a high volume move as there is persistent overhead resistance at $19,500.
As mentioned in previous analysis, a drop below the $18,800 level will see BTC search for support at $17,900, and below that the $16,000 to $15,750 range.
For the short term, risk-averse traders are likely to keep a close eye on the 4-hour chart to see if the price can again find support above the 20-MA in order to burst through the pennant. It is imporant to note that this move will require signifanct volume to avoid rejection in the $19,400-$19,500 resistance zone.
Typically, during Bitcoin’s consolidation phases altcoins pump higher but that has not been the case this time.
While a selection of DeFi tokens and other obscure altcoins have moved higher, the majority of the top-20 coins are in the red today.
This is possibly due to the fact that investors are reluctant to shift funds into altcoins while the Bitcoin price is in such an indecisive position.
Experienced crypto investors know that a strong bullish breakout from BTC could result in altcoin-to-BTC pairs being crushed, whereas a bearish breakdown in BTC price tends to result in BTC and USD altcoin pairs receiving an equally catastrophic pummeling.
A few standouts of the day are, AAVE with a 8.54% gain, Monero (XMR) which moved 5.19% higher and Waves (WAVES) which has rallied 6.23%.